Labor holds Dunkley but slumps in two national polls; Liberals lead in Tasmania

Labor holds Dunkley but slumps in two national polls; Liberals lead in Tasmania

With all ordinary booths in Dunkley having primary vote counts and 51% of enrolled votes counted, The Poll Bludger is projecting a final Labor margin of 52.6–47.4, a 3.6% swing to the Liberals. This means Labor candidate Jodie Belyea will win the seat after a byelection was called in the wake of the death of former MP Peta Murphy. There have also been some postals and pre-poll votes included. The Poll Bludger’s Labor win probability is 99%. Thi…