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Iran Regains 60% of Missile Launchers During Ceasefire, US Intelligence Estimates

U.S. intelligence says Iran has restored about 60% of its launchers, leaving enough firepower to threaten shipping and regional forces.

  • According to a New York Times report, intelligence assessments indicate Iran retains up to 70 percent of its prewar missile arsenal, roughly 60 percent of launchers, and about 40 percent of its drone stockpile.
  • Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Thursday that Iran is actively recovering missiles from damaged depots and underground facilities, reportedly retrieving around 100 additional systems concealed in caves after Operation Epic Fury airstrikes.
  • During testimony before the House Armed Services Committee, Defense Intelligence Agency Director James Adams told lawmakers that Iran "retains thousands" of missiles and drones, with munitions remaining intact "despite degradations to its capabilities from both attrition and expenditure."
  • These remaining capabilities pose a potential threat to maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, with officials warning shipping risks could escalate significantly when the ceasefire agreement with Washington expires on April 22.
  • Security planners anticipate that renewed threats to commercial vessels may necessitate naval escorts, potentially raising insurance and energy costs while forcing markets to adjust to the precarious security environment in the Middle East.
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The Economic Times broke the news on Friday, April 17, 2026.
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