Maduro Capture, Iran War…: Polymarket Bets Spark Buzz over Donald Trump Jr’s Role in Prediction Markets

Insider trading concerns around the Iran war are on the rise. Can anyone police the bets?

Fears are growing about insider trading on U.S. policy and military plans on prediction markets. But the Trump administration has been slow to crack down.

Are insiders profiting from prediction markets over the Iran war?

Prediction markets like Polymarket let users bet on future events. At least one trader has been remarkably prescient about U.S. military operations in Iran, feeding fears that prediction markets are being manipulated by insiders with closely held knowledge of government plans.The anonymous trader has made “dozens of well-timed Polymarket bets” on Iran that earned them nearly $1 million since 2024, said CNN. They won 93% of their bets “even thoug…

Iran War Bets Fuel Insider Trading Fears

Traders have bet hundreds of millions on the Iran conflict, with success that some say hints at advance political insight.

Maduro capture, Iran war…: Polymarket bets spark buzz over Donald Trump Jr’s role in prediction markets

Suspiciously accurate bets on Iran strikes and the Maduro operation have spotlighted insider trading risks in prediction markets, with Donald Trump Jr’s links to Polymarket and Kalshi drawing fresh scrutiny