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What to Expect from April’s Eurozone Inflation Data

  • Eurozone headline inflation is forecast to have increased by 2.1% year on year in April 2024, slightly below March’s 2.2% reading.
  • This forecast follows rising core inflation and updated national inflation data from Spain, Italy, and France, which influenced upward revisions to the overall outlook.
  • Core inflation, excluding volatile items like food and energy, is expected to have risen to 2.5% in April, slightly higher than March’s 2.4%, partly due to travel-related services in Germany.
  • Michael Field of Morningstar noted that a decline in inflation could ease the European Central Bank’s concerns, potentially allowing it to reduce interest rates further, which may provide support to equity markets despite continuing trade uncertainties.
  • The April inflation data suggests progress toward the ECB’s 2% target, but trade tensions and sticky core inflation indicate that current celebrations could be short-lived.
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Expansión broke the news in on Tuesday, April 29, 2025.
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