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India's Retail Inflation Firms up to 3.21% in February as Food & Beverage, Clothing Prices Rise

Retail inflation in India rose to 3.21% in February 2026, driven by increased food, tobacco, and precious metals prices amid fuel supply risks, official data showed.

  • On Thursday, March 12, 2026, the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation released CPI data showing retail inflation rose to 3.21% in February from 2.74% in January, marking the fourth straight monthly increase.
  • Food and energy shocks drove the increase, with food and beverages accounting for 44 basis points of the rise and inflation at 3.35% in February, while silver and gold prices kept personal care inflation above 19%.
  • Category-Level moves included paan, tobacco and intoxicants at 3.49% in rural areas and 3.02% in urban areas, with transport prices declining by 0.05%.
  • Many hotels and restaurants are already feeling the strain as commercial LPG supply diverts to households, which face higher cooking-fuel prices but no shortage; the early-March 2026 LPG price hike may raise headline CPI projection for March to around 3.3–3.5%.
  • Nomura cautioned that elevated oil prices could curb the Reserve Bank of India's dovish stance, which forecast 2.1% inflation at its Feb. 5 monetary policy meeting, while markets watch Strait of Hormuz risks.
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India’s consumer inflation rises to 3.21% in February as oil risks loom

India's inflation for February is within central bank's comfort level range but policy action is unlikely due to rising global energy prices

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Times of India broke the news in India on Thursday, March 12, 2026.
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