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World oil market may be tighter than it looks, IEA says

GLOBAL, JUL 11 – OPEC cut oil demand forecasts for 2026-2029 due to slower growth in China but expects demand to rise to 122.9 million barrels per day by 2050, up from last year’s outlook.

  • On Thursday, OPEC cut its 2026–2029 global oil demand forecasts but maintained a long-term growth outlook, asserting no sign of peak demand.
  • Slowing economic growth and rising EV adoption in China prompted OPEC to cut short-term demand forecasts, citing oil substitution and subdued growth as key factors.
  • OPEC's 2026 demand estimate is 106.3 million bpd, down from last year's 108 million, with the 2029 forecast at 111.6 million bpd, 700,000 bpd lower.
  • Lower medium-term demand may delay OPEC+ unwinding cuts until 2026, complicating efforts to restore production levels, as analysts warn of softer demand.
  • OPEC maintains long-term demand growth projection of 122.9 million bpd by 2050, requiring $18.2 trillion in sector investment, despite recent short-term forecast cuts.
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World oil market may be tighter than it looks, IEA says

The world oil market may be tighter than it appears despite a supply and demand balance pointing to a surplus, the International Energy Agency said on Friday, as refineries ramp up processing to meet summer travel demand.

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Investors King broke the news in on Thursday, July 10, 2025.
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