Pro-EU Candidate Takes Narrow Lead in Polish Presidential Election, Exit Poll Says
- On June 1, 2025, Poland held a presidential election runoff in Warsaw featuring liberal pro-EU mayor Rafal Trzaskowski and conservative historian Karol Nawrocki.
- The election followed a May 18 first round where Trzaskowski led with 31.1 percent and Nawrocki had 29.5 percent, amid a 67.3 percent turnout and strong polarization.
- Trzaskowski pledged judicial reforms and closer EU ties, while Nawrocki promoted nationalist conservative values, inspired by Donald Trump's MAGA movement and backed by the Law and Justice party.
- Ipsos exit polls indicated that Trzaskowski holds a slim lead with 50.3 percent compared to Nawrocki's 49.7 percent, though this result is subject to a possible variation of two percentage points either way.
- The final results may shift, but a Trzaskowski win would support Poland's pro-European course, while a Nawrocki victory could heighten conflicts with the EU and alter alliances.
20 Articles
20 Articles
Trump-inspired candidate narrowly ahead in Poland's presidential election, second exit poll shows
The final outcome will decide whether Poland pivots towards more liberal norms or takes a more nationalist path - and it appears as though less than 100,000 votes could separate the candidates.
The country awaits the official results, which will determine not only the political leadership of the coming years, but also its international positioning
In Poland, pro-European Rafal Trzaskowski seems to be heading for victory in the presidential elections. In the second round, Trzaskowski received 50.3 percent of the votes, according to the exit poll published by broadcaster TVP. His opponent Karol Nawrocki, from the opposition party Law and Justice (PiS), received 49.7 percent of the votes. This is an exit poll, and not the final result. That will be announced tomorrow, as the electoral commis…
Analysts remain very cautious about predicting the winner of the second round of the presidential election on 1 June. Liberal Rafal Trzaskowski confronts conservative national Karol Nawrocki there. ...
In Poland, the second round of presidential elections will take place on 1 June, and the elections will be decisive for the current Prime Minister of Poland, Donald Tuska, and his pro-European Government, and Tusk and his associates are seeking reform, and they urgently need the support of the President. If Rafal Tshaskovsky, a fellow Tuska, wins and becomes President, the Prime Minister's coalition will have a green light for its liberal reform…
The right-wing conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki is going to the Polish presidential election on Sunday with a thin poll lead. The future of Poland – and of the EU – is at stake.
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