US EditionSiena College Pollster Offers Insight Into New York Races
A Siena poll shows Governor Hochul leads Representative Stefanik by 14 points, down from 23, with Stefanik gaining support among independents and suburban voters, pollster Steven Greenberg said.
- Siena Poll conducted August 4 to 7, 2025, found Hochul leads Stefanik by 14 points, 45% to 31%, down from 23 points.
- Suburban and independent voters are shifting, with independents now favoring Stefanik after previously backing Hochul, Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said.
- Familiarity metrics show 49% of voters are somewhat familiar with Stefanik, but only 29% believe she has the right experience, Greenberg said.
- With the race still 15 months out, Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said Hochul doesn’t hit `the magic 51%` and Stefanik could leverage the narrowing margin.
- Forecasts show more than three-quarters of Republicans think Stefanik's election would be good for New York, while 49% of voters see it as detrimental, Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said.
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Syracuse NYReposted by 
New York Upstate
New York UpstateHochul lead over Stefanik narrows in potential NY governor’s race matchup (poll)
Stefanik has improved her name recognition among the New York voting base.
·Syracuse, United States
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Hochul improves approval rating, but lead over Stefanik shrinks
A new Siena University poll shows Gov. Kathy Hochul’s job approval ticking up – now at 53 percent – her best since March of last year. However, her lead over U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik in a possible 2026 gubernatorial race has narrowed to 14 points. That is down from 23 points in June.
SIENA POLL: Hochul lead over Stefanik in potential 2026 race falls to 14 points
LOUDONVILLE, N.Y. — Gov. Kathy Hochul’s lead in a potential gubernatorial race against Rep. Elise Stefanik fell to 14 points, 45-31%, down from a 23-point lead in June, 47-24%, according to a new Siena Poll of New York State registered voters. However, the poll showed that Hochul’s job approval and favorability ratings are up a […]
Coverage Details
Total News Sources16
Leaning Left1Leaning Right5Center6Last UpdatedBias Distribution50% Center
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources are Center
50% Center
C 50%
R 42%
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