George Mason U. Poll Shows Spanberger up 12 over Earle-Sears in Final Days of Virginia Governor's Race
A poll shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger leads Republican Winsome Earle-Sears by 7 points for governor while Republican Jason Miyares narrowly leads Democrat Jay Jones for attorney general.
- On Oct. 21, CNU's final poll found Abigail Spanberger leading Winsome Earle-Sears 50% to 43%, with the attorney general race a near tie, 46%-to-45%.
- The Jones text revelations have prompted fallout earlier this month, with 75% of likely voters hearing coverage and 56% of those aware less likely to support Jay Jones, Democratic attorney general candidate.
- Demographic splits show Spanberger's lead is strongest among Democrats and women , with 29% of likely voters already having cast ballots.
- Given a +/-4.1% margin of error, the poll was conducted by live interview on landlines and cell phones among 803 likely voters, showing both lieutenant governor and attorney general races tightened within this margin.
- With the special session underway and one week until Election Day, the poll found Democrats hold an 8-point edge on the House of Delegates generic ballot, 51% to 43%.
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10 Articles
Polls: Democrats Still Lead VA, NJ Governor Races, Republican Holds Onto Lead In VA Attorney General Race
By Robert Romano In what will be an early test for Republicans following the historic reelection of President Donald Trump to non-consecutive terms in 2024, wherein the GOP reclaimed the Senate and held the House of Representatives in Congress, Democrats continue leading the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races in the statewide average of polls compiled by RealClearPolling.com, by 7.1 percentage points and 3.8 percentage points, respectiv…
New polls: Spanberger still leads but attorney general’s race (and maybe lieutenant governor’s race) in doubt
Two new polls that came out Monday show Democrat Abigail Spanberger maintaining a lead of 7-8 percentage points in the governor’s race but suggest that Jay Jones’ text messages have turned the attorney general’s race into a contest that could go either way. The two polls gave conflicting accounts of what’s happening in the lieutenant governor’s race. A poll by Christopher Newport University shows Democrat Ghazala Hashmi leading Republican John R…
CNU poll points to close statewide races
HAMPTON ROADS, Va. (WAVY) — The latest poll from the Wason Center at Christopher Newport University — and its last poll before Election Day on Nov. 4 — shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger ahead by a slightly smaller margin over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears. Some takeaways from the CNU pollster: Spanberger is expected to win The Jay Jones texting scandal could be influencing the lieutenant governor's race, and certainly his own race For govern…
Spanberger Leads Earle-Sears by 7 Points; Hashmi leads Reid by 2 points; after text messaging scandal, Miyares leads Jones by 1 Point in Attorney General Race - Falls Church News
NEWPORT NEWS, VA, Monday, Oct. 27 — A new Wason Center of Christopher Newport University survey of Virginia likely voters shows tightening races across the statewide contests as Election Day is right around the corner. Governor: Abigail Spanberger leads Winsome Earle-Sears by 7 points, 50% to 43%. Lieutenant Governor: Ghazala Hashmi leads John Reid by 2 points,
Poll: In top Va. races, Spanberger sustains lead over Earle-Sears, Miyares edges Jones by 1 point
A new poll released Monday, published the same day lawmakers returned to Richmond for a special session that could reshape political maps just one week before voters head to the polls, shows Democrats holding narrow leads in Virginia’s governor and…
After GOP polling gains, Earle-Sears still trails Spanberger; Miyares now leads
With Virginia's Election Day just over a week away, Christopher Newport University's Wason Center for Civic Leadership released its final poll, which was conducted from Oct. 21 to 23.In Virginia's governor's race, Democratic candidate Abigail Spanberger leads Republican nominee Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears by seven percentage points 50% to 43% among Virginia likely voters, according to CNU's latest poll.Spanberger has consistently maintained a p…
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