Flavio Bolsonaro slightly leads Lula in Brazil runoff, Quaest poll shows
The lead is within the margin of error as Bolsonaro’s PL also won a commanding congressional majority, strengthening the right’s position nationwide.
- Brazil will hold its presidential runoff on Sunday, October 25, 2026, between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Recent polls show a tight race as both campaigns enter the final week.
- Flávio secured 47.03% of the vote in the October 4 first round, narrowly outpacing Lula's 45.16%. The Liberal Party emerged as the largest party in the Chamber of Deputies with 121 seats, marking a broader rightward shift.
- A PoderData/Aya poll released Friday, October 16, shows the candidates tied at 50% of valid votes each. Prediction markets like Polymarket still favor Flávio, assigning him a 77% chance of winning despite recent market volatility.
- In a televised interview on Friday, October 16, Flávio pledged to support a constitutional amendment barring presidential reelection if elected. He said, "The details will come in the legislative process; I only need one term," according to CNN Brasil.
- Televised debates on October 23 offer both candidates final opportunities to sway undecided voters before the October 25 runoff. The election will determine Brazil's leadership and policy direction for the next four years, with implications for trade relations with Washington.
297 Articles
297 Articles
Just nine days after the decisive second presidential round on October 25, Brazil attends a frantic run in which Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro struggle to tip their favor a technical tie in the polls that has the country in vilo. After remaining less than two million votes of the radical right candidate in the first round, the veteran leftist president has redesigned his strategy by appealing to the state’s resources. Lula has a…
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Flavio Bolsonaro Holds Narrow Lead Over Lula in New Poll as Brazil’s Presidential Runoff Nears
Brazilian Sen. Flavio Bolsonaro leads President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva by less than one percentage point in a new CNT/MDA survey, leaving the candidates ... The post Flavio Bolsonaro Holds Narrow Lead Over Lula in New Poll as Brazil’s Presidential Runoff Nears first appeared on [your]NEWS.
Flávio Bolsonaro imposed himself in the general elections in Brazil on October 4. However, he did not reach 50% of the votes needed to win in the first round, so the presidency will be defined in a ballot against the current president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on October 25, 2026. The extreme right-wing candidate of the Liberal Party (PL) won 47.03% of the votes, about 56.1 million. While Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the Workers' Party (PT) pul…
Brazil's left rallies as Lula closes gap before runoff
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, 80, was jolted when he finished behind right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro -- son of former president Jair Bolsonaro -- by 47 percent to 45 percent in the October 4 first round. But a Datafolha poll published Thursday showed Bolsonaro's lead in the runoff narrowing from four percentage points to two, putting the rivals in a statistical tie. Bolsonaro was on 51 percent of valid votes against Lula's 49 percent,…
Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of Brazil's former president, remains easily favored by the vote on Sunday, October 25th. A poll published on Thursday showed a slight increase in the popularity of Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, which narrowed the difference from the favorite Flavio Bolsonaro from four to two percentage points before the presidential final...
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