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Polymarket: Lula Reduces Difference, but Flavio Has 76% Chance of Being Elected

Summary by Revista Oeste
On the nine days of the second round of elections in Brazil, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, a PL candidate for the Planalto Palace, has 52 points advantage over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), who will be competing for re-election on the Polymarket forecast platform. This is the largest global forecast market platform (prediction market) based on cryptocurrencies. Through it, users buy and sell contracts (actions) linked to the occurrence o…
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The probability of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) being elected president on October 25 dropped from 79.6% to 76.4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from the Polymarket betting platform, compiled in the Radar Polymarket, of SpaceMoney. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), has risen from 20.5% to 23.5%. The movement indicates a recent reduction in [...] The post Flávio Bolsonaro loses strength, but maintains broad leadership in betting in Polyma…

In 2024, $3.7 billion were staked in the American election and Polymarket hit 48 out of 50 states while the polls said tie. Now it gives 83% to Flavio. The post Polymarket gives 83% to Flavio. In 2024 it had Trump at 62% with tied polls. What betting markets do they see that the polls do not deliver? apareceu primeiro em ND More

Predictive market platform maintains contracts on the Brazilian electionPolymarket bets give Flávio advantage; bets follow accessible despite blocking

On the nine days of the second round of elections in Brazil, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, a PL candidate for the Planalto Palace, has 52 points advantage over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), who will be competing for re-election on the Polymarket forecast platform. This is the largest global forecast market platform (prediction market) based on cryptocurrencies. Through it, users buy and sell contracts (actions) linked to the occurrence o…

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Revista Oeste broke the news on Friday, October 16, 2026.
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