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Carbon budget to keep global warming at 1.5 C could be exhausted in 3 years: report

  • A 2025 report shows the world is on track to exhaust the 1.5°C carbon budget within just over three years due to continued high emissions.
  • This outcome follows decades of rising emissions and warming, with last year’s global surface temperatures first surpassing 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • The report, authored by more than 60 scientists and published in Earth System Science Data, highlights accelerating sea-level rise and climate impacts intensifying worldwide.
  • Professor Joeri Rogelj stated, “The window to stay within 1.5°C is rapidly closing” and emphasized swift emission cuts are needed to meet Paris Agreement goals.
  • Without transformational change in energy systems and emission reductions, breaching 1.5°C will cause more frequent extreme weather, greater harm, and risks to vulnerable populations.
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The estimated carbon remaining to reach temperatures +1.5°C above pre-industrial levels would be depleted in just over three years at current CO2 emissions levels.

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Winnipeg Free Press broke the news in Winnipeg, Canada on Wednesday, June 18, 2025.
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