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Scientists Looked Back in Time to Find the First Signs of Human-Caused Global Warming. It’s Far Earlier than Previously Thought

  • Benjamin D. Santer and colleagues published a 2025 study showing detectable human influence on climate as early as 1885 in the stratosphere.
  • The study used historical data, theory, and climate models to predict stratospheric temperature changes starting in 1860 amid rising carbon dioxide levels.
  • Researchers found that a human-caused cooling signal in the upper atmosphere would have been visible with today's technology within 25 years of 1860.
  • Gabi Hegerl emphasized that the human influence on climate could have been identified rapidly, highlighting how early the signals of human-driven climate change would have become apparent.
  • These findings suggest that earlier detection could have informed climate mitigation, while current budget cuts threaten essential monitoring programs.
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A small multi-institutional team of climatologists found evidence that human impacts on the stratosphere began earlier than before. In their study, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the group used observational data, environmental theory and computer modelling to create simulations representing [...]

By burning fossil raw materials, we release large quantities of greenhouse gases and thereby change the global climate. But from when did these emissions have measurable influences on the climate system for the first time? Researchers have now approached this question by means of a model simulation. If people had had today's measuring methods available in the 19th century, they would have [...] Der Beitrag Mensch veränderte Atmosphere schon im 1…

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Nature broke the news in United Kingdom on Monday, June 16, 2025.
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