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Extended Climate Projections Sharply Raise Risk of AMOC Tipping Within Decades

Summary
Extended CMIP6 simulations to 2300-2500 estimate scenario-dependent shutdown probabilities, identifying deep winter convection failure as the tipping trigger.

25 Articles

Center

According to new model calculations, the Atlantic meridional circulation (AMOC) threatens to collapse with persistently high greenhouse gas emissions after 2100.

·Germany
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Center

The collapse of the southern circulation of Atlantic reshuffling is not a low probability event. The collapse of this circulation would transport heated tropical water to Europe.

Lean Right

Current in the Atlantic Ocean helps to moderate the climate and its collapse has so far been an unlikely event. A new study indicates that this collapse may affect European temperatures.

·Portugal
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  • 63% of the sources are Center
63% Center

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Grist broke the news in on Monday, June 9, 2025.
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