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Trump Has Promised Cheaper Oil. Texas’ Economy Could Pay a Price

Lowering oil prices to $50 a barrel could cause layoffs for 495,000 Texas oil workers and reduce tax revenues for state and local governments, experts say.

  • President Donald Trump pledged to lower oil prices to $50 a barrel, and analysts warn this could decimate Texas's recent oil momentum and threaten the Lone Star State.
  • In Texas it takes at least $62 per barrel to break even on new wells, yet by 2024 operators were drilling record amounts and selling oil for at least $70, fueling state coffers and school districts.
  • Production stayed relatively flat at 5.8 million barrels per day between December 2024 and October 2025, while drilling rigs declined with Texas losing 20 rigs since Trump took office.
  • Communities reliant on oil face immediate job and budget pressures as operators struggle to break even, risking production cuts that threaten the estimated 495,000 Texas oil industry employees.
  • While horizontal drilling may blunt some losses, analysts caution that price at $40 a barrel would likely cause big cuts to capital budgets and production declines.
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After the COVID-19 plummeted oil prices, Texas’ oil and gas industry recovered. By 2024, operators drilled record amounts of oil. Each barrel was sold at a minimum price of $70, generating profits and a boost that enriched state coffers, school districts, and local government budgets with billions of dollars in tax revenue. Now, President Donald Trump’s promise to reduce oil prices to $50 per barrel could decimate that momentum and cause problem…

·Washington, United States
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Associated Press NewsAssociated Press News
+4 Reposted by 4 other sources
Lean Left

Trump has promised cheaper oil. Texas’ economy could pay a price.

After COVID-19 tanked oil prices, Texas’ oil and gas industry rebounded. By 2024, operators were drilling record amounts of oil.

·United States
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  • 56% of the sources lean Left
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Cryptocurrency News | Cryptocurrency Prices | Market Cap broke the news in on Tuesday, January 20, 2026.
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