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Trump Has Promised Cheaper Oil. Texas’ Economy Could Pay a Price
Lowering oil prices to $50 a barrel could cause layoffs for 495,000 Texas oil workers and reduce tax revenues for state and local governments, experts say.
- President Donald Trump pledged to lower oil prices to $50 a barrel, and analysts warn this could decimate Texas's recent oil momentum and threaten the Lone Star State.
- In Texas it takes at least $62 per barrel to break even on new wells, yet by 2024 operators were drilling record amounts and selling oil for at least $70, fueling state coffers and school districts.
- Production stayed relatively flat at 5.8 million barrels per day between December 2024 and October 2025, while drilling rigs declined with Texas losing 20 rigs since Trump took office.
- Communities reliant on oil face immediate job and budget pressures as operators struggle to break even, risking production cuts that threaten the estimated 495,000 Texas oil industry employees.
- While horizontal drilling may blunt some losses, analysts caution that price at $40 a barrel would likely cause big cuts to capital budgets and production declines.
Insights by Ground AI
11 Articles
11 Articles
After the COVID-19 plummeted oil prices, Texas’ oil and gas industry recovered. By 2024, operators drilled record amounts of oil. Each barrel was sold at a minimum price of $70, generating profits and a boost that enriched state coffers, school districts, and local government budgets with billions of dollars in tax revenue. Now, President Donald Trump’s promise to reduce oil prices to $50 per barrel could decimate that momentum and cause problem…
·Washington, United States
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myRGV.com
Trump has promised cheaper oil. Texas' economy could pay a price.
ODESSA — After COVID-19 tanked oil prices, Texas’ oil and gas industry rebounded.By 2024, operators were drilling record amounts of oil. Each barrel sold for at
·San Antonio, United States
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Total News Sources11
Leaning Left5Leaning Right0Center4Last UpdatedBias Distribution56% Left
Bias Distribution
- 56% of the sources lean Left
56% Left
L 56%
C 44%
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