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Dollar Eases as US Inflation Data Keeps September Rate Cut on Table

US inflation data for July showed a 2.7% annual rise and core CPI up 3.1%, increasing market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September to 90%.

  • On Monday, the EUR/USD pair traded around 1.1650 after an early high at 1.1675.
  • Investors are preparing for US CPI and PPI reports for July as data could influence Federal Reserve policy.
  • July CPI is forecast to rise by 0.2% month-on-month, down from 0.3%, with the annual rate climbing to 2.8% and the core index steady at 0.3%.
  • Despite inflation pressures, markets are pricing in a near-90% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, and yield differentials are narrowing against the dollar, Schamotta said.
  • According to MUFG, a bigger inflation pickup could delay a Fed rate cut, while ING warns stronger US core CPI may push EUR/USD below 1.160 soon.
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currencynews.co.uk broke the news in on Monday, August 11, 2025.
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