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Ethiopia: Rising Tensions in Tigray Risk Regional Conflict

  • In November 2022, the Government of Ethiopia and the Tigray People's Liberation Front signed a peace agreement in Pretoria, South Africa, to end the two-year civil war in Tigray.
  • Rising tensions in Tigray are fueled by a power struggle within the TPLF between long-time leader Debretsion Gebramichael and Getachew Reda, head of the Tigray Interim Administration , over the implementation of the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement .
  • The power struggle has led to actions such as Debretsion's criticism of Getachew, attempts to undermine the TIA's authority, the seizure of key locations by TDF members loyal to Debretsion, and Getachew's suspension of TDF commanders and appeal for federal intervention, with tensions escalating in mid-March and the TPLF being suspended in February 2025 for failing to hold a general assembly.
  • Bishop Medhin of the Catholic Eparchy of Adigrat voiced concerns over the developments, highlighting the immense suffering already endured by the population, with Bishop Medhin stating, "We are trying to move forward as a Church, to give hope to the people and be a sign of hope for them" and "We Try to stand by their side and work for healing from the trauma of the war".
  • The ongoing political instability, the continued presence of Eritrean forces in border areas despite the COHA mandate, the dire humanitarian situation exacerbated by funding shortfalls, and the potential for renewed conflict threaten to destabilize Tigray and the wider Horn of Africa, with concerns that a resumption of violence could have devastating consequences for the region.
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Modern Diplomacy broke the news in on Monday, March 24, 2025.
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