El Niño Puts India on Track for Its Driest Monsoon Since 2009
The India Meteorological Department said the June-September season is 15% below average, with a 68% chance of ending 10% to 20% short.
- Cumulative rainfall during the June-September monsoon season is 15% below the long-term average, according to the India Meteorological Department. India is on course to record its driest monsoon in 17 years amid strengthening Nino conditions.
- Strengthening Nino conditions have curbed rainfall, causing drought across 53% of India and delaying rice, sugar cane, and corn plantings. Kharif crops face additional stress from the prolonged shortfall.
- Food inflation reached 5.95% as the government sells subsidized onions and allows duty-free sugar imports to bolster supplies. QuantEco economist Yuvika Singhal notes every 1 percentage-point rainfall shortfall typically pushes food inflation up by about 25 basis points.
- Christian Werner of Global Weather Climate Analytics expects the seasonal deficit to hold between 13% and 16%. A potential tropical cyclone in the Bay of Bengal may bring rain but is unlikely to materially change the national picture.
- Forecasters using the CRUCIAL prediction platform at Lancaster University assign a 68% chance the season ends with a rainfall deficit of 10% to 20%. If the deficit persists, it would be the weakest monsoon since 2009, when rainfall was 18% below normal.
11 Articles
11 Articles
El Nino Puts India On Track For Its Driest Monsoon In 17 Years
Adequate monsoon rains are crucial for the hundreds of millions of Indian farmers who depend on the seasonal precipitation to irrigate fields in the country, which is among the world's biggest producers of rice, sugar and cotton
El Niño puts India on course for driest monsoon in 17 years; crop yields and food prices at risk
India is on course for its driest monsoon in 17 years, with rainfall 15% below normal so far. A strengthening El Niño is raising concerns over crop yields and food inflation, which hit 5.95% in August.
El Niño Threatens India’s Monsoon As Rainfall Deficit Reaches 15% - Goemkarponn
New Delhi: India is heading towards its driest monsoon in 17 years as strengthening El Niño conditions weigh on rainfall, raising concerns over agricultural output and food prices. Cumulative rainfall during the June to September monsoon season is currently 15% below the long-term average, according to the India Meteorological Department. If the deficit remains at [...] The post El Niño Threatens India’s Monsoon As Rainfall Deficit Reaches 15% a…
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