US EditionEarth's average temperature for 2025-29 likely to exceed 1.5°C limit: WMO
GENEVA, SWITZERLAND, MAY 31 – The World Meteorological Organization reports an 80% chance of a new global heat record by 2029, with a 70% likelihood that average warming will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
- The World Meteorological Organization and UK Met Office released a five-year forecast on Wednesday predicting an 80% chance that global temperatures will break a record between 2025 and 2029.
- This forecast follows 2024 temperatures exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels due to human-caused warming and an El Niño event, while ten years ago the chance of such warming was about 1%.
- The prediction is derived from over 200 model projections conducted by a consortium of 10 international scientific institutions, indicating an 86% likelihood that at least one year within the next five will surpass 1.5°C, along with a small probability of temperatures reaching 2°C before 2030.
- Stanford climate expert Rob Jackson emphasized that unprecedented high temperatures rapidly establish a new baseline, while UK Met Office professor Richard Betts highlighted the increased risk of intense wildfires as rising heat dries out vegetation.
- The report indicates increasing risks including faster Arctic ice melt, rising seas, more heatwaves, and severe impacts on ecosystems, economies, and human health over the coming years.
214 Articles
214 Articles
Los Angeles Times
Independent EspañolPrepare for several years of even more extreme heat that will lead to more lethal, incendiary, and uncomfortable conditions on Earth, according to the predictions of two of the world’s leading weather agencies.
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