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Dwayne Johnson Reflects on Career-Worst Opening of 'The Smashing Machine': 'You Can't Control Box Office Results'

The film earned $5.9 million domestically, falling short of the $8 million to $15 million forecast despite critical acclaim and Johnson's Oscar-contender performance.

  • The Smashing Machine cratered in third place across 3,345 venues with a $5.9 million opening, the lowest of Dwayne Johnson's career.
  • Backed by a $50 million production budget, A24 promoted The Smashing Machine at Venice after a 15-minute standing ovation and Benny Safdie's best-director win.
  • Three weeks ago, tracking placed the movie in the high teens to $20M range, but industry projections of $8 million to $15 million were missed as 64% 18-34 attended and Taylor Swift's release dominated premium screens.
  • Analysts estimate a net loss around $10M to $15M after tax credits, limiting studio downside, but the box-office misfire is a significant setback for both Dwayne Johnson and A24.
  • On Monday, the star posted gratitude on Instagram, calling the project life-changing, and he has major films opening July 10, 2026 and Dec. 11 next year.
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FirstSportz broke the news in on Monday, October 6, 2025.
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