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Lions vs. Giants Predictions, Picks and Best Bets for NFL Week 12: Latest Props for Gibbs and Goff

Dimers ran 10,000 simulations showing the Lions have an 80% win probability after Giants QB Jaxson Dart was ruled out, shifting betting lines significantly.

  • On Friday, the New York Giants announced Jaxson Dart was ruled out for Week 12, naming Jameis Winston the starter for the game at Ford Field on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. EST.
  • The rookie suffered a concussion two weeks ago, sat out last week's loss to the Green Bay Packers, returned to non-contact practice Wednesday but did not clear concussion protocol.
  • Early Sunday, Dimers ran 10,000 simulations of the Giants-Lions matchup, giving the Lions an 80% win probability and projecting a 29-19 final score with New York winning 22% of the time.
  • Following the concussion ruling, sportsbooks at leading New Jersey and Michigan widened the spread from about 10.5 to roughly 13, listing Detroit a 13.5 favorite with a 50.5 over/under; Dimers' betting guide recommends Under 50.5.
  • Statistically, the Detroit Lions' offense averages over 38 points in six wins this year, but despite a 4-1 start, they are 2-3 over their last five and outside the playoff picture, while New York Giants enter 2-9 on a five-game losing streak.
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Sports Illustrated broke the news in New York, United States on Sunday, November 23, 2025.
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