Matt K. Lewis: A Democratic Takeover of the Senate Is Now Imaginable

Matt K. Lewis: A Democratic takeover of the Senate is now imaginable

Matt K. Lewis I’ve seen enough. It’s time to revise our expectations about the midterms. For more than a year now, conventional wisdom has been that Democrats would take back the House — but not the Senate — in the November midterms. That’s because this year’s Senate map would require Democrats to win numerous seats […]

Democrats 85% to Flip the House in 2026 Midterms, Senate Still a Toss-Up

Prediction markets are now pricing Democrats as clear favorites to retake the House and showing the Senate as a narrow, likely toss-up race, in the midterm 2026 elections.  That market data comes while polls show a historically normal midterm shift against the president’s party, but not yet the full‑blown “wave” that would guarantee a flip. President Donald Trump’s Republican Party currently controls both the House and the Senate. Both Kalshi an…