Democrat James Talarico surges ahead in odds of winning Texas Senate seat over Republican Ken Paxton

Democrat James Talarico surges ahead in odds of winning Texas Senate seat over Republican Ken Paxton

Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico has surged ahead of Republican Ken Paxton in prediction-market odds for the Texas Senate race, marking a striking shift in a state Republicans have dominated for decades. Talarico currently leads Paxton 56% to 44% on Kalshi and 52% to 48% on Polymarket, with both markets giving the Democrat his first clear lead over the Trump-backed Republican. The market movement follows a series of polls that showed T…

Rep. Jasmine Crockett Questions James Talarico’s Chances in Texas Senate Race

Rep. Jasmine Crockett is urging Democrats to temper their enthusiasm about James Talarico’s chances of flipping Texas’ U.S. Senate seat, even as a string of recent polls shows the Democratic nominee running competitively against Republican Ken Paxton. Crockett, who lost the Democratic Senate primary to Talarico in March, told NBC News that she remains unconvinced by polling showing Talarico ahead. Her skepticism is rooted less in the topline num…

Talarico Texas Senate Odds Cross 55% On Kalshi, But The Electoral Math Is Brutal

Talarico Texas Senate odds have crossed 55% on the prediction market Kalshi, the first time the Democratic candidate has cleared that threshold, and the