UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
The report says current pledges still leave a 50% chance of returning to 1.5 C by 2100 and call for steep emissions cuts.
- On Wednesday, the United Nations Environment Programme released its annual Emissions Gap Report 2026, finding that exceeding the Paris Climate Agreement's 1.5-degree Celsius warming target is now "imminent and unavoidable."
- Current government policies track toward about 2.8 degrees Celsius warming, with projections deteriorating since last year partly because of the United States' withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
- Global greenhouse gas emissions must fall 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035, and 69% by 2040 to keep warming to the lowest achievable overshoot, while coal-fired electricity generation requires a 75% reduction by 2035.
- UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres characterized the findings as a "leadership gap," asserting that "overshoot is not surrender" while urging nations to urgently implement fast, deep emissions reductions.
- With COP31 approaching next month in Antalya, Turkey, delegates face findings that returning temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius depends on large-scale carbon removal, the feasibility of which remains uncertain.
166 Articles
166 Articles
The United Nations, in a new report, stated that it was no longer possible to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius and that, under current commitments, the world was moving to a temperature increase of 2.8 degrees by the end of the century. In a new report, Emissions Gap, the United Nations had concluded that the goal of keeping global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels was no longer achievable, and the current emi…
The 2015 Paris Agreement set the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C. But this is no longer a realistic scenario because the planet is heading towards 2.8°C by the end of the century, as warned in the report on the emissions gap by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).
UNEP cautioned that global warming was a candidate to exceed the 1.5°C threshold above pre-industrial levels, stressing that limiting it and returning to the threshold by the end of the current century were still possible, provided that emissions were reduced urgently.
Global commitments to limit global warming remain largely insufficient and place the world on a 2.6-degree Celsius warming trajectory over this century, with the...
Despite the progress of renewable energies, current climate policies remain largely inadequate. A new UN report points to the gap between the ambitions of states and the concrete measures put in place. ...
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