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Brazil’s Lula Holds Narrow Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro in Datafolha Runoff Poll

Datafolha said Lula’s lead narrowed by 1 point as the official campaign began, with 2,058 voters surveyed starting Aug. 18.

  • Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 47% to 43% in a simulated runoff, according to a Datafolha poll released on Friday.
  • In the first round, Lula holds 39% of the vote against Bolsonaro's 33%, with other candidates trailing; a runoff is required if no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes.
  • Datafolha surveyed 2,058 people starting August 18, marking the first poll released since the official campaign began when candidates are legally allowed to actively seek votes.
  • The Supreme Court authorized the Federal Police to investigate Lula's eldest son regarding alleged illicit business dealings, while Lula's approval rating fell to 47% and disapproval rose to 50%.
  • Senator Bolsonaro narrowed the gap by one percentage point despite numbers previously falling in May following film financing allegations involving his father, President Jair Bolsonaro.
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15 Articles

Far Left

Lula aspires to re-election and his fourth non-consecutive term. In a possible second round, according to Datafolha, he would surpass the ultra-rightist Flávio Bolsonaro with 47% of the votes.

·Caracas, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
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UOLUOL
Reposted by
Folha de S.PauloFolha de S.Paulo
Lean Left

Datasheet: Lula leads between women and the poorest, and Flávio, between evangelicals

·São Paulo, Brazil
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ReutersReuters
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

Lula retains lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, Datafolha shows

·London, United Kingdom
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Lean Right

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has 39% of the voting intentions and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) records 33% in the first round of the presidential election, according to research Datafolha released on Friday (21). In a possible second round between the two, Lula marks 47%, while Flávio appears with 43%. In the previous survey, in July, the petist recorded 40%, before 32% of the opponent, in the first round. In the second round, Lula …

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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  • 40% of the sources are Center
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CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, August 21, 2026.
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