Could Texas Vote Democrat After 30 Years of Republican Reign?
Higher Latino turnout and cracks among Republican women are tightening statewide races as Democrats seek their first Texas win since 1994.
- Polling shows James Talarico, a Democratic state representative, narrowly leading Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton as Texas approaches the November 3 election, challenging three decades of Republican dominance in the state.
- Interviews with over 40 voters reveal three cracks in the Republican coalition: Latinos jolted by President Donald Trump's immigration raids, conservative women uneasy about Paxton's alleged marital infidelity, and men squeezed by rising prices and the war with Iran.
- Republicans have spent over $300 million on ads supporting Paxton, dwarfing the $102 million spent for Talarico, while about 1.56 million Latinos had cast ballots by Wednesday, nearly double the 2022 turnout.
- James Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin, called the race potentially transformative, stating "If Talarico or Hinojosa win, it's a political earthquake." Democratic state Representative Gina Hinojosa also campaigns.
- Many Texas Republicans remain confident in their chances on November 3, with Abbott's chief strategist Dave Carney asserting the party's ground game is peaking late by design in this state of 31 million people.
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Dems Privately Name Texas as Most-Flippable Red State
“Democrats’ main Senate super PAC is privately telling top donors that Texas offers their best shot at flipping a deep-red Senate seat, followed by Ohio, where the race remains close,” Axios reports. “Senate Majority PAC also sees victories in Iowa and Alaska as within reach, though the outcomes could take longer to become clear.”
The US Democratic Party Political Action Committee, in closed briefings, informed the sponsors that the Texas victory was the best chance of winning a seat in the Senate. The US Democratic Party's Main Committee (Senate Majority PAC) considered Texas and Ohio the most promising states to defeat the Republicans in the upcoming elections, wrote Axios. It also hoped for success in Iowa and Alaska. "There are signs of optimism in Texas, but it remai…
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