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China’s factory activity drops to a near two-year low in April as trade tariffs bite

  • China's manufacturing activity contracted in April 2025, reaching its fastest decline in nearly two years amid ongoing trade tensions and economic challenges.
  • The contraction followed a prior month of growth influenced by businesses accelerating shipments to avoid steep US tariffs that came into force in April 2025.
  • The National Bureau of Statistics reported the Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 49 in April, below the 50 threshold that separates growth from contraction.
  • NBS statistician Zhao Qinghe explained that the decline was due to previously strong manufacturing expansion and significant changes in the global environment, while tariffs on numerous Chinese products reached as high as 145 percent.
  • This contraction signals potential broader economic slowdown risks for China, which faces sluggish domestic demand, a property crisis, and ambitious annual growth targets of 5 percent in 2025.
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The Economist broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, April 29, 2025.
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