U.S. Intel Finds Putin Could Test NATO’s Resolve With Limited Incursion: WSJ
U.S. officials say the Kremlin could use cyberattacks, sabotage or a small ground incursion to split NATO, with risk rising through 2029.
- New U.S. intelligence reports suggest that Russian President Vladimir Putin may soon attempt to challenge NATO's resolve by conducting a limited military or cyber strike against a member state.
- The assessment reflects a shift in intelligence perspectives, as officials now believe Putin may seek to fracture the alliance to distract from ongoing struggles and domestic pressure regarding the war in Ukraine.
- Potential scenarios for such provocations range from small-scale ground incursions to cyberattacks, intended to test the alliance's political cohesion.
- These concerns are exacerbated by significant U.S. military supply shortages, specifically regarding long-range precision-guided missiles and tactical air defense systems, which have been depleted by global conflicts.
- While the Kremlin's long-term objectives remain centered on undermining confidence in NATO, the potential for a direct, limited confrontation is now considered a near-term possibility as the war in Ukraine continues.
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After Ukraine, Russia has eyes on other NATO-allied countries? US intel claims Vladimir Putin seeks to…
According to the officials, the assessments reportedly point to a change in Putin's risk calculus compared with just a few months ago, indicating a greater willingness to take actions that could test NATO's response without directly triggering a conventional conflict.
Russia's President Vladimir Putin could launch a limited attack on an alliance country in the coming years to put NATO to the test, as reported by the U.S. intelligence service.
US intel warns Putin may authorise hybrid attacks on NATO territory to test Western resolve: Report - The Tribune
These officials noted that the primary goal is likely not to trigger a broader war, but rather to test NATO's cohesion and evaluate the Trump administration's willingness to respond if a NATO ally comes under attack, CBS reported.
Putin May Test NATO With Limited Attack To Test Alliance Unity, Warn US Intelligence Reports
New US intelligence indicates that Russian President Vladimir Putin may consider limited provocations against NATO member states to test the alliance's resolve. This represents a shift from previous beliefs that Putin would avoid confronting NATO amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine.
Putin is planning an attack on NATO countries. The offensive could take place as early as this fall and with the aim of splitting the defense alliance. – It has always been a goal to challenge NATO's credibility and to separate the United States from its allies, says Heather Conley, an expert, to the Wall Street Journal.
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