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Washington Letter: Catholic Voters Moved Toward Democrats in 2026 Elections, Early Data Shows

  • Exit polls from NBC News and CNN show Catholics and religiously unaffiliated voters, known as "nones," played pivotal roles in Democratic midterm victories, as Catholics shifted from majority Republican in 2024 to a near-even split.
  • Political scientists and scholars indicated that economic challenges were the primary drivers of voter behavior, with voters from major faith traditions identifying the economy as essential to their decisions.
  • Religiously unaffiliated voters grew to 27% of the electorate in 2026, up from 24% in 2024, and were instrumental in securing key Senate victories for Democrats, according to exit polls.
  • Latino voters moved from 51% to 64% Democrat between 2024 and 2026, while Catholics comprising about 20% of midterm voters shifted to a near-even split between Republicans and Democrats.
  • Preliminary results suggest more white evangelical voters stayed home compared to prior elections, even as the percentage backing President Donald Trump remained stable at 82%, indicating an enthusiasm gap.
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Real Clear Politics broke the news in Northbrook, United States on Wednesday, November 4, 2026.
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