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Carney’s pipeline push is unlikely to bring back Canada’s oil jobs boom
The plan could add 1 million barrels a day to Pacific exports, but analysts say most new work would be temporary construction jobs.
On Friday, Prime Minister Mark Carney backed a West Coast pipeline to transport 1 million barrels of crude oil daily to Pacific ports, aiming to expand Asian exports and counter President Donald Trump's tariffs.
Following the 2015 oil price crash, annual capital investment fell from a C$35 billion peak in 2014 to C$14.2 billion by 2024, prompting government efforts to revive the sector through new infrastructure.
Federal approval remains conditional on C$100 billion in private investment for the pipeline and carbon capture projects, though no oil sands company has committed these funds to fill the proposed infrastructure.
Energy Safety Canada projects oil sands employment will fall 4% by 2035, citing a 'structural trend' of producing more oil with fewer workers; the pipeline may primarily offer temporary construction roles rather than permanent hiring.
Workers like truck driver Jenny Parsons, who has worked at oil sands sites for 15 years, say 'Things are not getting better,' reflecting skepticism as Carney promotes 'sustained growth' while the industry prioritizes shareholder returns.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney would revive the country’s oil industry and reduce its dependence on the United States by building a new oil pipeline to the Pacific coast. But the plan is unlikely to bring back the jobs of the oil boom — industry consensus predicts that much of the production growth will come from automation and efficiency improvements, not mass hiring.