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Will hurricane season start early this year? Recent trends suggest yes

  • The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could start early with potential storm development in the western Caribbean before June 1.
  • This scenario is supported by the fact that in seven out of the previous ten seasons, at least one named storm appeared before the official June 1 start date, with forecasting models also suggesting an earlier onset this year.
  • Unusually warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf and southern Caribbean, which are among the highest on record for early May, support favorable conditions for storms.
  • Colorado State University researchers predict an above-average 17 named storms this season, noting warm Atlantic and Caribbean waters as contributing factors.
  • The early start and warm waters suggest a busy season, though an early onset does not necessarily mean more storms overall.
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Bias Distribution

  • 67% of the sources are Center
67% Center
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The Free Press (Tampa) broke the news in Tampa, United States on Tuesday, May 6, 2025.
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