Poll shows race tightening between Liberals and Conservatives, as NDP vote continues to drop

Final weekend poll shows tight race heading into election day

With just days remaining until Canadians head to the polls, the outcome of the 45th federal election remains too close to call.

All down to E-Day: Liberal voters dominate early voting but election day support splits evenly between CPC, LPC

Campaign ends with a narrow lead for Mark Carney and the Liberals April 26, 2025 – While it may be one of the most cliched statements about politics, in the case of Canada’s 45th federal election, it is also true: it will all come down to election day. The non-profit Angus Reid Institute’s final data...

‘Wasted votes’? How seat projections differ from daily polling

Seat projections for Canada’s upcoming election can seem inconsistent with public opinion polling, which has shown the Conservatives closing the gap on the Liberals as voting day nears.

The 2025 campaign is nearly over. The race we expected in 2024 never began

Trump has inverted every issue that the major parties expected to talk about, and inadvertently pushed a new main player onto the stage. On Monday, we will see how the drama ends

Liberals maintain slim lead over Tories as poll numbers stabilize

OTTAWA — With election day fast approaching, poll numbers have largely held steady over the past week.

Michael Taube: The Conservatives still have a path to victory

The topsy-turvy federal election is in the home stretch. Mark Carney's Liberals are out in front, but Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives have gradually narrowed the gap. There’s just enough time for the Tories to win, and they have just enough momentum to do it.