CANADA ELECTION 2025: Polls had a Liberal majority. What did they miss and how will the Liberals govern in a minority?
11 Articles
11 Articles
Graphic Truth: Graphic Truth: 60 Ridings Flip as Liberals Retain PowerElectoral Shifts in Canada
Canada’s election on Monday was marked by unexpected twists from start to finish. While the Liberals staged a comeback to claim a fourth successive mandate to govern, voters at the local level triggered major changes: Over 60 ridings threw out their incumbent parties, leading to some unexpected upsets. Chief among them was the stunning defeat of Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, who lost his long-held Ottawa-area seat to Liberal candidate Br…
Beyond “elbows up”—Our election post-mortem
It’s been an absolutely wild election. Polling predictions were a roller coaster, from a historic Conservative majority, to a Liberal majority, and everything in between. When we got off the roller coaster, we ended up with a parliament that is very similar in overall composition to the one that came before it—a Liberal minority with…

CANADA ELECTION 2025: Polls had a Liberal majority. What did they miss and how will the Liberals govern in a minority?
While the Conservatives were ultimately unable to stop the Liberals from forming government, the party fared better than some pollsters expected in Ontario and Atlantic Canada.
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