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No Chance Asteroid Will Slam Into the Moon in 2032, NASA Says

New observations by NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope lowered the asteroid’s lunar impact chance from 4.3% to zero, confirming a safe pass 13,200 miles above the Moon.

  • Thursday's NASA statement from Cape Canaveral declared there is now zero chance that asteroid 2024 YR will crash into the moon in 2032.
  • James Webb observations on Feb. 18 and Feb. 26 showed NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies at JPL refined 2024 YR4's trajectory after earlier analyses put lunar-impact odds at 4.3%.
  • Discovered in late 2024 by ATLAS, Asteroid 2024 YR4 measures about 200 feet and will pass 13,200 miles from the lunar surface, with Webb observing it faintly since spring 2025.
  • NASA concluded the asteroid poses no significant impact risk to Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, or through the next century, and agencies plan continued observation including JWST in 2028.
  • Looking ahead, experts warned an impact could equal about 500 Hiroshima bombs and might have been visible from Earth or created meteor showers, while the rock will miss Earth six years from now.
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Space News broke the news in Mojave, United States on Thursday, March 5, 2026.
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