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Australia's Q2 Inflation Surprises on Low Side

AUSTRALIA, JUL 30 – Australia's inflation rate fell to 2.1% in the June quarter, the lowest since 2021, increasing expectations for a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate cut next month.

  • The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported headline consumer prices rose 2.1% over 12 months to June, down from 2.4% in March, the lowest since March 2021.
  • In July, the Reserve Bank of Australia left its policy rate at 3.85%, with Michele Bullock saying the board awaited June quarter figures to assess inflation’s trend.
  • Underlying price measures, specifically trimmed mean inflation, was 0.6% in the June quarter, in line with expectations and the lowest since December 2021, with unemployment rising to 4.3%.
  • Futures markets price in a 70% chance of a rate cut on August 12 after inflation data showed a 2.1% in the June quarter.
  • New inflation figures increase the chance of Governor Bullock announcing a further cash rate reduction next month, Bank of America predicted the June quarter data would prompt a 25-basis-point cut at the August meeting.
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FXStreet broke the news in on Tuesday, July 29, 2025.
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