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Brazil central bank hikes rates to near 20-year high, leaves next steps open

  • Brazil's central bank raised its Selic benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 14.75% on Wednesday, marking the sixth consecutive increase and the highest level since 2006.
  • The hikes respond to persistent inflation above the 3% target, global uncertainties including US trade tariffs, and the need for a contractionary monetary policy to control price pressures.
  • Policymakers observed signs of slowing growth and moderate inflation risks on both sides, while economic and labor indicators remain strong amid an inflation rate of 5.49%.
  • The unanimous decision matched most economists' forecasts and included the statement that caution and flexibility are needed given the advanced policy cycle and lingering uncertainty.
  • The central bank revised down its inflation projection for 2025 to 4.8% and signaled uncertainty about future interest rate adjustments, with some economists suggesting a potential pause or reduction in rates later this year depending on how economic data develops.
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El Economista broke the news in on Wednesday, May 7, 2025.
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