New Poll: Braun Is Catching up with the Confederation. Tusk and the Left Could Form a Government.
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Politicians from the Civic Coalition and the New Left are celebrating a new poll that gives them a narrow majority in the Sejm. But if the elections were held next Sunday, such a scenario would be a huge surprise.
The Civic Coalition (KO) has such an advantage over PiS that an agreement with the Left would be enough to form a government. However, a coalition majority would hang by a thread of one seat. The latest poll indicates that the only real winner in recent weeks is Grzegorz Braun, whose party has seen a massive surge in support. We can forget about the Polish People's Party (PSL) and Third Way.
The Civic Coalition is leading in the latest IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska. Donald Tusk's party received 31.5% support, 1.3 percentage points more than in the previous survey. At the same time, support for Law and Justice (PiS) and the Confederation (Konfederacja) declined. However, Grzegorz Braun's Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (Confederation of the Polish Crown) gained significantly.
The Civic Coalition remains the leader in the latest United Surveys by IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska. Support for Law and Justice (PiS) and the Confederation (Konfederacja Konfederacja Korony Polskiej) has declined significantly, with Grzegorz Braun's Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (Confederation of the Polish Crown) recording the largest increase. Seat simulations show that a majority in the Sejm would be exceptionally fragile.
The Civic Coalition remains the leader in the latest United Surveys by IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska, widening its lead over Law and Justice. Grzegorz Braun's Confederation of the Polish Crown, meanwhile, is seeing a significant increase. With this distribution of support, Civic Coalition and the Left would have 231 seats in the Sejm, exactly the equivalent of a majority.
The Civic Coalition (KO) maintains its lead, but Grzegorz Braun's party is seeing the largest gains. A ruling coalition would have a majority of just one seat in the Sejm.
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