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Bolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll shows

The poll of 5,000 voters shows Lula leading the first round, but Bolsonaro edging him in a runoff by 0.2 points.

  • On Thursday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied in a potential second-round runoff, with the senator holding a narrow numerical edge over the incumbent.
  • Polling data shows a shift in voter preference since late August, when Lula previously led Bolsonaro 47.1% to 42.6%, compared with earlier surveys showing 43.4% for Lula and 33.7% for Bolsonaro in first-round scenarios.
  • In the first-round scenario, Lula currently leads with 43.0% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro at 37.4%, Augusto Cury at 6.6%, and Renan Santos at 6.5%.
  • If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff election scheduled for October 25.
  • AtlasIntel surveyed 5,000 people between September 4 and 9, with the poll carrying a margin of error of 1 percentage point for the upcoming national vote.
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43 Articles

Lean Left

Poll gives Flavio Bolsonaro a narrow lead in a potential second round of Brazil's presidential election, with 46.4% to Lula's 46.2%. The post Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro's narrow lead in the second round, poll shows appeared first on in.gr.

·Greece
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Lean Left

Search AtlasIntel/Bloomberg, released today, shows President Lula (PT) stable in the lead of the first round in the electoral race for the Palace of the Planalto, with 43% of voting intentions. On high, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) appears in the sec

·São Paulo, Brazil
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ReutersReuters
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

Bolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas ...

·London, United Kingdom
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Left

The senator appears numerically in front of the president in new uprising

·São Paulo, Brazil
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WTVB broke the news on Thursday, September 10, 2026.
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