US EditionBitwise wants to list prediction markets ETFs for U.S. elections in 2026 and 2028
- On Tuesday, Bitwise Asset Management filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to list two PredictionShares 2028 presidential ETFs, including Democratic and Republican President Wins ETFs.
- Industry momentum from the 2024 election cycle pushed managers like Bitwise toward prediction ETFs, as new ETF markets have been major revenue drivers in recent years.
- Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi would supply market prices, with a 60% market probability implying a Republican ETF near $0.60, ultimately resolving to $1.00 or $0.00.
- Regulators may scrutinize politically tied products, as GraniteShares and Roundhill have also filed similar prediction ETFs, raising competition and regulatory risks.
- Roundhill's BETZ reaching $1B highlights potential revenue upside for prediction ETFs, despite the 2028 horizon and binary outcomes that may limit early liquidity, mirroring the crypto ETF pattern.
19 Articles
19 Articles
These ETFs Would Bet on 2028 Presidential, Congressional Races
Would gambling by any other name be as risky? At least three companies have their fingers crossed that the Securities and Exchange Commission won’t halt their plans for ETFs making all-or-nothing bets on federal election results. Over the past week, Roundhill Investments, GraniteShares and Bitwise have each filed nearly identical prospectuses for sets of six exchange-traded funds that would use event contracts to make wagers on the outcome of th…
New ETFs Will Now Let You Bet on Who Wins the White House in 2028
Quick Read Roundhill Investments filed for ETFs tracking 2028 election prediction markets. Roundhill’s Sports Betting ETF (BETZ) reached $1B in assets. Roundhill’s ETFs will track platforms like Polymarket where the 2028 presidential market already has $21.6M in liquidity. GraniteShares and Bitwise also filed for similar political prediction products after unprecedented 2024 election volume. New ETF markets have been major revenue drivers in …
Bitwise would have taken an unexpected step towards a new category of financial products: ETFs linked to political predictive markets. According to reports, the firm filed an application for vehicles that would follow contracts linked to key elections in the United States, seeking to bring the exhibition to “events” to the regulated format of a listed fund. *** Bitwise, according to reporter Eleanor Terrett, would have filed an application for E…
Bitwise launches six election prediction ETFs after reaching 10 billion dollars monthly - The Cryptocurrency Post
Bitwise Asset Management formally requested the registration of new financial instruments this Tuesday, according to the 485APOS form filed with the SEC. The firm seeks to launch six prediction market ETFs focused on the election cycles of 2026 and 2028, capitalizing on trading volumes averaging 10 billion dollars monthly on decentralized platforms worldwide. The proposal under the “Prediction Shares” brand includes two specific funds for the 20…
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