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Scott Bessent Projects 3% GDP Growth By 2025 End, Downplays Affordability Worries Amid Rising Incomes

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent cited a 1% rise in real incomes and service sector inflation as reasons for the predicted 3% US GDP growth despite the government shutdown.

  • On December 03, 2025, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicted the U.S. economy will finish the year with 3% real GDP growth in interviews including CBS News' Face The Nation and the DealBook Summit.
  • A government backlog delayed the third-quarter GDP estimate until just before Christmas, while recent inflation data showed consumer price index measures up 3% year-over-year, with food at home rising 3.1% and imported goods inflation at 1.8%.
  • Citing income data, Scott Bessent said real incomes rose about one percent with a $94.5 billion increase in personal income in September, driven by service sector price pressures and holiday season strength.
  • President Donald Trump said `The word 'affordability' is a con job by the Democrats` during a cabinet meeting, while a recent NBC News poll shows about two-thirds of voters see economic shortcomings.
  • Looking ahead, forecasts diverge: Scott Bessent had predicted 5% GDP growth before the shutdown, Bank of America forecast projects 2.4% in 2026, and President Donald Trump recently signed an executive order investigating alleged price‑fixing with $12 Billion aid to farmers.
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday that consumers have spent a lot of money so far during the holiday season and predicted that the country's economy will end the year on a strong footing. Bessent therefore expects 3% growth this year.

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Portfolio broke the news in on Sunday, December 7, 2025.
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