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Bank of England’s Top Economist Calls for ‘More Cautious’ Interest Rate Cuts

Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill says inflation remains above target at nearly 4%, prompting a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts.

  • On Friday, Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank of England, urged the Monetary Policy Committee to adopt a more cautious pace in withdrawing monetary policy restriction and described keeping Bank Rate on hold as a `skip rather than a halt`.
  • Persistent price pressures mean CPI inflation has been `stickier` than expected last year, with UK inflation at 3.8%, the highest among the Group of Seven, and last year's fiscal moves blamed for inflation.
  • Market-Implied odds indicate the Bank of England cut rates four times since August last year to 4%, with Oxford Economics estimating inflation rose to 4% in September and markets assigning a 15 per cent chance of a cut at next month’s MPC meeting.
  • They are widely expected to keep Bank Rate at 4% at next month's meeting, Pill said he `would expect further cuts` over the next year, with markets now eyeing February or March.
  • Mr Pill warned the Monetary Policy Committee must stay alert to new shocks and guard against cutting rates too far or too fast to protect the 2% inflation target.
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Bank of England’s top economist calls for ‘more cautious’ interest rate cuts

Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank, said in a speech in London that he ‘would expect further cuts’ in the coming year.

·London, United Kingdom
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Friday, October 17, 2025.
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