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Bank of Canada Expected to Keep Key Rate Steady This Week — and Maybe All Year Long

The Bank of Canada maintains rates at 2.25% amid trade uncertainties and elevated unemployment, with markets predicting an extended hold for 2026, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

  • On Jan. 26, 2026, the Bank of Canada will hold its first interest-rate decision of 2026 on Wednesday, with many economists expecting no change later this week and possibly for the rest of the year.
  • Mixed December readings show the Bank of Canada held its policy rate steady after two consecutive quarter-point cuts as early data suggest growth slowed in the fourth quarter.
  • Financial markets show odds for a rate hold this week stood at nearly 89 per cent as of Friday, and long-term expectations baked into bond market prices guide lenders' mortgage and loan rates.
  • Avery Shenfeld expects no change on Wednesday but said Macklem might soften his tone, and signalling cuts are done could lure some homebuyers this spring, raising mortgage demand.
  • Given the scheduled trade review later this year, trade is the clearest risk with U.S. tariffs and a major shock like a stock market downturn could force policy changes, Avery Shenfeld warned.
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On Wednesday, the central bank will issue its first decision on interest rates for 2026.

·Montreal, Canada
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Winnipeg Free PressWinnipeg Free Press
+7 Reposted by 7 other sources
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Bank of Canada expected to keep key rate steady this week — and maybe all year long

Breaking News, Sports, Manitoba, Canada

·Winnipeg, Canada
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Island Social Trends broke the news in on Sunday, January 25, 2026.
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