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Australian Inflation Cools, Cutting Odds of Another RBA Hike

Core inflation stayed at 3.6% and markets cut bets on an August rate hike, though housing and services costs remained elevated.

  • On Wednesday, Australian government data showed consumer price inflation cooled in the June quarter, with the annual trimmed mean gauge rising 3.6% versus the 3.7% forecast.
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the key rate three times this year to 4.35% to combat inflation; RBA Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged on Tuesday the board grows increasingly concerned the longer inflation remains outside its target.
  • Traders reacted sharply, slashing bets on another rate hike this year to about 50% from more than 90% previously, while annual inflation in June was primarily driven by a 6.8% increase in housing costs.
  • The Australian dollar fell to $0.6949 as bond yields declined; AMP Economist My Bui said the print was "softer than we expected and it was pretty nice to see some hot services categories ticking down in June."
  • RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter is scheduled to hold a fireside chat on Thursday morning, the final event before the board meets on August 11, when it releases updated quarterly forecasts.
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Interest rate hike less likely after inflation ease

Australia's inflation rate has eased more than expected, reducing the chance of an interest rate hike in August.

·City of Perth, Australia
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WTVB broke the news on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.
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