China's Economy Likely Grew 5.2% in Q2 Despite Trade War: AFP Poll
MONTANA, UNITED STATES, JUL 10 – The US economy returned to growth in Q2 while China expanded over 5% driven by exports despite ongoing trade tensions and tariffs, analysts say.
- China's official data on Tuesday is expected to show a 5.2 percent GDP expansion in the second quarter amid efforts to sustain growth.
- This economic growth followed a 5.4 percent expansion in the first quarter and reflects strong exports despite ongoing US tariffs and trade tensions.
- Analysts note that overseas shipments remained robust partly due to foreign buyers frontloading purchases amid trade uncertainties under U.S. President Trump.
- However, experts highlight that growth has been deflationary, jobless, and profitless with weak domestic demand threatening momentum, and Hu and Zhang warn it is "hard to escape the ongoing deflationary spiral" without strong stimulus.
- China targets around five percent annual growth this year, but many anticipate slower expansion in the second half unless Beijing enacts sustained policy support and structural reforms.
42 Articles
42 Articles

China's economy likely grew 5.2% in Q2 despite trade war: AFP poll
China's economy is expected to have expanded more than five percent in the second quarter thanks to strong exports, analysts say, but they warned Donald Trump's trade war could cause a sharp slowdown in the final six months.
In a lecture on July 7, 2025, Prof. Dr. Markus Taube, co-director of the Confucius Institute Metropolis Ruhr and holder of the Chair of East Asia Economy / China at the University of Duisburg-Essen (UDE), analyzed the current trade conflict between China and the USA. The main thesis was that the current trade conflict resulted in a fundamental break in the world economic order: the system of economic opening, global division of labor and value c…
After solid growth at the start of the year, China's economy is likely to have slowed in the second quarter, driven mainly by US trade policy, analysts surveyed by Reuters said in their latest estimate. If the estimate is confirmed, pressure on the Chinese government to take further measures to support the economy will increase. The world's second-largest economy has so far managed to avoid a sharp slowdown in growth, partly due to the current t…
China's Economy Likely Grew 5.2% In Q2 Despite Trade War: AFP Poll
China's economy is expected to have expanded more than five percent in the second quarter thanks to strong exports, analysts say, but they warned Donald Trump's trade war could cause a sharp slowdown in the final six months.
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