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Arsenal vs Brighton outcome predicted by Opta's very latest analytical data

Opta projects a 69.1% chance of Arsenal winning at home due to strong defense and recent form, while Brighton faces challenges with injuries and low scoring.

  • On Saturday, December 27, 2025, Opta's model heavily favors Arsenal with a 69.1% chance of winning at the Emirates Stadium, where kickoff is at 3pm GMT.
  • Opta favours Arsenal because their recent defensive form and two-point Christmas lead boost their chances against Brighton & Hove Albion's inconsistent run.
  • Missing defenders mean Arsenal might start Riccardo Calafiori at centre-back as Gabriel, Cristian Mosquera and Ben White remain sidelined, while Brighton miss Carlos Baleba, away at AFCON, and Adam Webster with a long-term knee injury; Danny Welbeck is available to feature.
  • With Arsenal two points clear at Christmas, a slip at the Emirates could cost them the Premier League title, as only 17 of 90 leaders on Dec. 25 have won it, Opta's model suggests.
  • Despite long odds, Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton & Hove Albion have won three and drawn two of their last seven visits to the Emirates Stadium, making them unpredictable opponents.
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18th round in the English Premier League! In the afternoon conference there are five games. Among other things, Arsenal against Brighton and Liverpool against final light Wolverhampton is demanded. We report in the conference liveticker – see below. Here the conference liveticker:Good entertainment!

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softfootball.com broke the news in on Friday, December 26, 2025.
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