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Argentina Economists See a 1% Quarterly Contraction

Summary by The Rio Times
Forecasters polled by Argentina's central bank expect a 1.0% third-quarter contraction and cut 2026 growth to 1.5%, yet dollar bonds rallied on Tuesday.

14 Articles

Center

According to the Fiscal Council (FC), the economic growth forecast of 2.0 percent instead of the previously planned 4.1 percent included in the bill amending this year's budget law is at risk from external economic and geopolitical tensions, rising energy prices, and a severe domestic drought. This slowdown is partially offset by rising real household wages and the associated strong consumption.

·Budapest, Hungary
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Argentine economy walks to technical recession after insufficient recovery in August; growth projection 2026 falls from 3.5% to 1.5%.

Investors are increasingly concerned about next year’s campaign, as Milei is failing to deliver on the growth promised

·Bogota, Colombia
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They said that in the third quarter the economic activity contracted 1%. Indec had already reported that in the second quarter the regression was 0.6%.The entry The recession has already arrived, say analysts consulted by the Central Bank was first published in El Ciudadano.

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The Central Bank's REM showed a strong twist in analysts' projections, which now estimate a contraction of between 1% and 1.1% between July and September.

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Portfolio broke the news in Budapest, Hungary on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.
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