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Stalling Jobs Growth May Be Just What the Market Needs

The U.S. economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, with manufacturing down 12,000 and unemployment rising to 4.3%, signaling a potential jobs recession, experts say.

  • On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the economy added just 22,000 payrolls, while the jobless rate ticked up to 4.3%.
  • Supply constraints such as falling foreign-born workers and higher tariffs have reduced available workers due to immigration restrictions and increased costs from tariffs and trade policy.
  • BLS revisions revealed June lost 13,000 jobs and trimmed June–July data by 21,000, while the health care sector added 31,000 jobs as manufacturing and wholesale trade posted losses.
  • Investors shifted expectations, now betting the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points later this month, with a 10% chance of a larger 50-basis-point cut, CME FedWatch tool shows.
  • Analysts warned that the combination of slowing hires and rising prices could signal stagflation, with Gary Clyde Hufbauer saying, `I have long forecast an economic slowdown in this fall or winter. This seems to be the first sign`, while Jerome Powell called it `a challenging situation`.
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Dakota Free Press broke the news in on Sunday, September 7, 2025.
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