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Trump Tariff Rebate Checks Could Cost Twice as Much as Their Revenue: Analysis

The $2,000 tariff rebate plan could cost $600 billion annually, double the expected tariff revenue, raising concerns about increased deficits, says the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

  • On Nov. 10, President Donald Trump proposed $2,000 rebate checks funded by tariffs, while the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget projected the plan would cost $600 billion annually.
  • Earlier this year and last summer lawmakers discussed similar ideas, including Sen. Josh Hawley's failed $600 push and Trump's talks on Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency, while the 2020 CARES Act set $75,000 individual and $150,000 joint income thresholds used as a template.
  • Cost projections reveal the CRFB estimates the tariff-funded rebate program would cost $600 billion a year, while $100 billion in tariffs had been collected by October and a single round costs about $6 billion.
  • Congress would need to approve any rebate checks because U.S. Congress controls spending, and the Supreme Court justices, including Chief Justice John Roberts, expressed skepticism about Trump's emergency tariff authorities.
  • CRFB's 10-year estimate warns annual rebate checks could increase deficits by $6 trillion, while Trump tied debt reduction to national security and promised to use tariffs to lower debt.
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  • 65% of the sources are Center
65% Center

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Inc. broke the news in on Monday, November 10, 2025.
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