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Iran's Rulers Face Existential Choice

Iran’s leadership considers resuming nuclear negotiations after U.S. and Israeli strikes killed key commanders and scientists, with insiders saying talks are vital for regime survival.

  • On August 17, 2025, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian urged hardliners to resume nuclear talks with the US, warning against returning to war.
  • This call followed a 12-day war in June marked by Israeli and US strikes that severely damaged Iran's nuclear and military capabilities, triggering diplomatic deadlock and sustained sanctions.
  • Iran faces compounded crises including socioeconomic strain, daily blackouts, a looming water emergency, internal unrest, intensified repression, and threats of renewed UN sanctions under the snapback mechanism.
  • The leaders of the United States and Israel have threatened to carry out additional attacks if Iran resumes uranium enrichment, while Iran insists on its right to pursue nuclear energy for peaceful purposes and promises to respond firmly.
  • Iran's leadership now balances between defiance and diplomacy amid deep elite divisions, with insiders seeing nuclear negotiations as vital for survival yet fearing hardline backlash and further military action.
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Modern Diplomacy broke the news in on Thursday, August 14, 2025.
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