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Economic confidence slips: Gallup

Gallup's Economic Confidence Index fell to -30 amid federal shutdown and market volatility, with holiday gift spending dropping to $778, the largest year-over-year decline recorded.

  • Gallup reported that its Economic Confidence Index fell seven points to-30 last month, the lowest since July 2024, based on ReconMR interviews with a random sample of 1,321 U.S. adults.
  • Protracted federal government shutdown, stock-market volatility and labor market uncertainty coincided with November readings, with about two-thirds of interviews conducted before the shutdown ended on Nov. 12.
  • About 68% of respondents said the economy is getting worse, and 27% said it is improving, according to Gallup's survey released on Thursday.
  • American consumers now expect to spend an average of $778 on holiday gifts, down $229 from $1,007 in October; Gallup said this midseason decline surpasses the $185 drop in 2008, though only 29% plan to spend less than last year.
  • Optimism about jobs dropped eight points, the most negative Gallup has recorded since January 2021, as most interviews preceded the delayed September jobs report showing 119,000 nonfarm payroll jobs added and 4.4% unemployment.
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  • 56% of the sources lean Right
56% Right

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Gallup broke the news in on Thursday, December 4, 2025.
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